Politico

Poll: Voters still support Trump's removal, but backing has dipped


As the impeachment trial against President Donald Trump prepares to kick off in full force later Wednesday, a slim plurality of registered voters favor the president’s conviction and removal from office, though overall support has dipped, according to the latest POLITICO/Morning Consult poll.

The survey — conducted beginning Friday, one day after senators were sworn in for the trial, through Sunday — found 47 percent of voters in favor of Trump’s removal, with 45 percent opposed.

The results follow a trend of incrementally weakening support since the House voted to impeach Trump late last month.

A POLITICO/Morning Consult flash poll in the immediate aftermath of the vote found that voters backed removal by a 52-43 percent margin. But a later poll, conducted earlier this month after House Speaker Nancy Pelosi delayed sending the articles of impeachment to the Senate, found hat support for removal had dropped 3 points, to 49 percent, with the percentage of voters opposed to removal remaining the same.

Voter sentiment registered in the latest poll has remained consistent in that it breaks sharply along party lines. Independents split evenly on the question of removal, which would require votes from two-thirds of the Republican-controlled Senate.

The month since the president’s impeachment has resulted in some partisan shifts: While opposition to removal among Democrats remained the same, support for removal among Democrats dropped 2 points, to 84 percent. But Republicans have coalesced some in their opposition to removal.


“Republican opposition to impeachment is on the rise as the Senate trial begins,” said Tyler Sinclair, Morning Consult’s vice president. “This week, nearly nine in 10 Republicans (88 percent) disapprove of the Senate removing President Trump from office, compared with only 10 percent who approve. This compares with 80 percent disapproval and 17 percent approval following the House vote last month.”

The POLITICO/Morning Consult poll found more agreement on whether the Senate should allow witnesses to testify in the trial, the subject of sharp disagreement between Republicans and Democrats and the cause for Pelosi’s delay in transmitting the articles.

Nearly six in 10 voters, 57 percent, said the Senate should call additional witnesses to testify, including 37 percent of Republicans and 53 percent of independents.

The chamber on Tuesday debated a rules package that does not commit to calling witnesses but leaves the issue up to a majority vote after House managers and Trump’s legal team conclude their opening arguments.

Interest in the proceedings, which are set to unfold over the next several weeks, remains high, the poll found, with 62 percent of voters saying they planned to watch at least some of the trial. That compares with 58 percent of voters who said they were “very” or “somewhat” likely to watch the first public impeachment hearings held by the House before those began last November.

The POLITICO/Morning Consult poll was conducted Jan. 17-19 online among a national sample of 1,997 registered voters. Results from the full survey have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.

Morning Consult is a nonpartisan media and technology company that provides data-driven research and insights on politics, policy and business strategy.

More details on the poll and its methodology can be found in these two documents: Toplines | Crosstabs

Continue

About the author

Lisa

Leave a Comment