Politico

Poll: Biden posts double-digit lead in Wisconsin, smaller edge in Michigan


Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden holds a double-digit lead over President Donald Trump in Wisconsin and has a less substantial advantage in Michigan, according to a new survey of the two Midwestern swing states.

An ABC News/Washington Post poll released Wednesday reports that 57 percent of Wisconsin likely voters prefer Biden, while 40 percent prefer Trump — a lead of 17 percentage points for the former vice president.

The previous version of the ABC/Post Wisconsin poll, published last month, showed Biden leading Trump by 6 percentage points among the state’s likely voters, 52-46 percent. According to the RealClearPolitics average of recent Wisconsin surveys, conducted Oct. 16-26, Biden leads Trump by 5.5 percentage points in the state.

The latest ABC/Post poll also has Biden ahead of Trump in Michigan by 7 percentage points — with 51 percent of the state’s likely voters backing the Democratic nominee and 44 percent rallying behind the Republican president.

Biden maintains a similar, high-single-digit lead of 9 percentage points over Trump in the RealClearPolitics average of recent Michigan surveys, conducted Oct. 21-27.

In the Michigan Senate race, incumbent Democratic Sen. Gary Peters leads Republican challenger John James by 6 percentage points among likely voters, 52-46 percent, according to the ABC/Post poll. Peters is also leading James in the RealClearPolitics average of Michigan Senate polling by 6.2 percentage points.

Trump won Michigan’s 16 electoral votes by 0.3 percentage points in 2016, and he won Wisconsin’s 10 electoral votes by 1 percentage point.

Michigan and Wisconsin, along with Pennsylvania, made up the trio of Great Lakes states Trump flipped four years ago to secure his Electoral College victory.

Public polling now shows Biden ahead in the three swing states, as Trump seeks to defend his 2016 map while working to flip Minnesota and Nevada, states the president lost four years ago.

The ABC/Post poll was conducted Oct. 20-25, surveying 789 Michigan likely voters and 809 Wisconsin likely voters with a margin of sampling error of plus-or-minus 4 percentage points.

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