Politico

Poll: Biden maintains Michigan lead


Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden has maintained his high single-digit lead over President Donald Trump in Michigan, according to a new survey of the Midwestern swing state.

A New York Times/Siena College poll released Wednesday, six days from Election Day, reports that 49 percent of Michigan likely voters prefer Biden and 41 percent favor Trump — an 8-point lead for the former vice president.

The previous version of the Times/Siena Michigan poll, published earlier this month, also showed Biden with a lead of 8 percentage points among the state’s likely voters, 48 percent to 40 percent.

The RealClearPolitics average of recent Michigan surveys, conducted Oct. 21-27, shows Biden with an 8.7 percentage point advantage over Trump.

Trump won Michigan’s 16 electoral votes by 0.3 percentage points in 2016. His ability to flip the state along with Pennsylvania and Wisconsin is widely credited with securing his Electoral College victory.

But public polling now shows Biden leading in those three battlegrounds and becoming increasingly competitive in traditionally Republican strongholds such as Georgia and Texas. Meanwhile, Trump is working to expand his 2016 map to flip Minnesota and Nevada.

The Times/Siena poll was conducted Oct. 23-26, surveying 856 Michigan likely voters with a margin of sampling error of plus-or-minus 4 percentage points.

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