Politico

Poll: Biden has five-point edge in Georgia


Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden has a single-digit lead over President Donald Trump in Georgia, according to a new survey of the southern battleground.

A Monmouth University poll released Wednesday — six days from Election Day — reports that 50 percent of Georgia registered voters prefer Biden, while 45 percent favor Trump.

A Monmouth model forecasting a high level of voter turnout shows Biden leading Trump by 4 percentage points, 50-46 percent. Another model based on lower turnout tightens Biden’s lead over Trump to 2 points, 50-48 percent.

In the previous version of the Monmouth Georgia poll, published last month, Trump narrowly led Biden among registered voters, 47-46 percent; under the high likely turnout model, 48-46 percent; and under the low likely turnout model, 50-45 percent.

According to the RealClearPolitics average of recent Georgia surveys, conducted from Oct. 8-23, Trump leads Biden by less than 1 percentage point in the state.


The latest Monmouth Georgia poll also shows Democrats running slightly ahead of their Republican opponents in the state’s pair of Senate races.

Incumbent Republican Sen. David Perdue trails Democrat Jon Ossoff by 3 percentage points among registered voters, 49-46 percent. The high likely turnout model has Ossoff leading, 49-47 percent, as does the low likely turnout model, 49-48 percent.

A plurality of registered voters, 41 percent, support Democrat Raphael Warnock in the special election for incumbent Republican Sen. Kelly Loeffler’s seat. Loeffler has 21 percent support, and Republican Doug Collins has 18 percent.

Warnock still leads under the high likely turnout model, with 41 percent support to Loeffler’s 22 percent and Collins’ 19 percent. And under the low likely turnout model, Warnock has 42 percent support, Loeffler has 22 percent, and Collins has 20 percent.

The two Senate contests — either of which could determine whether Democrats retake control of the chamber — will advance to runoffs in January 2021 if no candidate wins a majority of the vote next week.

The Monmouth poll was conducted Oct. 23-27, surveying 504 Georgia registered voters with a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.

Continue

About the author

Lisa

Leave a Comment